Monday, November 08, 2004
Now that there are no longer any undefeated or defeated teams left, and we are halfway through the season, we can start eliminating teams from the playoffs. Now I don't believe any team is mathimatically out of it just yet (Miami is awfully close), but I think we can put the the one-win teams on the "out of the playoffs" list. So good-bye to SF, Carolina, and Miami.
Can a three-win team still make it in? Of course they can mathematically. 9-7 can make it in, so they would need to go 6-2 the rest of the way to make it. As Oakland hasn't had their bye week yet, they are 3-6, and would have to go 6-1 the rest of the way. I just don't see it. Oakland is now on the list. So we're down to 28.
Of other three-win teams, Dallas, Washington, Cleveland, Cincinatti, and Buffalo are all 4 games out of first place in their respective divisions. I know their are two wild card spots, but I don't see these teams making it with so many other teams in the wild card mix. You are all on the list. We're down to 23.
The other 3-win teams are only two or three games out of first place in their division (Arizona-2, TB-3, NO-3, Chicago-2, KC-3, Tennessee-2), which puts them well in reach of the playoffs.
If you are .500 or above, you are obviously in playoff contention. So I see 23 still in it, and 9 are out.